Market Intelligence and  Forecasts that Drive Optimal Decisions

Power markets are being reshaped by rapidly shifting supply and demand. Ascend delivers the strategic insights and bankable forecasts decision makers need to plan, invest, and act.

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300+ GW

Underpinned by
Ascend Valuations

$50 Billion

In Renewable and Storage Project Financing Assessments

50,000 +

U.S. Nodes Modeled For Pricing Dynamics & Project Revenue

Pillars of a Modern Forecasting Framework

When investments span 20+ years, the right energy market forecast is critical to prudently steward capital. Ascend Market Intelligence  forecasts capture weather-driven dynamics that legacy models weren't designed to handle, providing developers , financiers , corporates , utilities , and IPPs with nodal, sub-hourly views of power, ancillary, capacity, and REC prices across all US power markets.

Macro Considerations
Anticipated policy rather than status quo
Cost/financial
Rapid load growth
Capacity
Expansion
Supply stack by unit, load for each load type
Transmission constraints at hyper-local level
Long term: economics, policy, demand
Price Formation
Correlated weather, load, renewables, & prices
Impact of large responsive & curtailable loads
Opportunity cost price-setting behavior
Key Outputs
Gas & power forwards, price shapes
DA & RT volatility
Hourly generation reporting & asset performance

Investment-Grade Energy Market Intelligence

In today's rapidly evolving energy markets, choosing the right forecast has never been more critical. Ascend Market Intelligence gives developers, IPPs, and financial institutions the strategic insights and analytical depth needed to understand market dynamics, assess risk, and act with confidence.' Please keep links in the same places.

Market Intelligence and Forecasts That Deliver

Ascend’s proprietary approach to modeling produces investment-grade forecasts that move projects from development to financing to operation with confidence.

Clearest Market Picture

Integrates production cost and long-run equilibrium modeling to capture price dynamics that legacy frameworks cannot replicate

Weather-Driven Models

More accurately models typical weather and captures critical correlations between prices, volatility, load, and renewable generation

Load & Transmission Clarity

Accounts for how large, responsive loads reshape nodal prices, and how transmission constraints create hyper-local price divergences

Nodal-Level Clarity

Captures pricing, siting, and development potential at every U.S. node, hub, and market, including the local impact of large new loads or generation

Granular Geospatial Analysis

Accounts for the impacts of renewable resource potential, cost of land, and geographic barriers

Day-Ahead and Real-Time Power Prices

Every U.S. node, hub, and market

Wholesale Market Forecasts

20+ year horizon, hourly DA prices, sub-hourly RT prices, hourly generation reporting and asset performance, capacity prices, RECs, capture rates, and hourly marginal emissions

Retail Rate Forecasts

Distributed resources, including community solar and storage, behind-the-meter projects, Virtual Power Plants, and more

Proprietary Map Layers

Incorporate price forecasts, investment metrics by resource type and location, nodal marginal emissions, interconnection, renewable capture rates, and IRA incentives

Bankability
Ascend’s work underpins more than 300 GW and $50 billion of project valuation assessments
Reputation
Ascend’s market intelligence and forecasts are widely used by developers, financiers, independent power producers, and banking institutions, and have become the market standard for price benchmarking and US power market insights
Expertise
Services in project finance support typically include independent project assessments, reliance letters, and forecast input ‘defense’ to credit committees and other stakeholders
Comprehensive
Forecasts account for and incorporate multiple layers of information, including cost of land, renewable resource potential, IRA energy communities, transmission infrastructure, population density, interconnection queue status, and other criteria
Flexibility
Recommendations can range from simple rankings of high value nodes to investment maps used to guide project siting

Market Intelligence and Forecasting: The Ascend Advantage

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Who Ascend Analytics Helps

Across every stage of the energy value chain, Ascend’s market intelligence and forecasts help transform uncertainty into advantage.

Developers

Maximize project value for strategic siting and sizing

Developers

Nodal price outlooks, IRA eligibility determination, and interconnection queue data for site screening; offtake structuring, and lender-ready forecasts

Financial Institutions

Leverage bankable forecasts, trusted valuations, and a robust asset marketplace

Financial Institutions

Independent forecast validation, correlated scenario modeling for investment committee materials, post-close monitoring

Independent Power Producers

Site, value, structure, and operate projects for optimal financial viability

Independent Power Producers

20+ year nodal wholesale and retail outlooks for portfolio strategy, basis risk management, and defensible planning assumptions

Utilities

Minimize power supply costs, mitigate risks, maximize capital efficiency

Utilities

IRP scenario support, RFP design and scoring, and regulator-ready forecast documentation

Corporates

Lower procurement costs, optimize data center siting

Corporates

PPA structuring, facility siting tied to nodal price and emissions outlooks, portfolio exposure modeling

Key Resources

Articles
June 26, 2026

How Should Power Market Forecasting Adapt to an Increasingly Complex Grid?

Learn how evolving power market complexity demands new forecasting approaches, and why Ascend Analytics developed the Enhanced Opportunity Cost Forecasting Framework to meet the challenges of the data center era.

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Publications

A New Normal: The Coming Era of Sustained, High Capacity Pricing

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Articles

Data Centers and Power: Speed, Reliability, and Tradeoffs

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Articles

SPP: The Most Underappreciated Energy Market in the US?

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