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PowerVAL/BatterySIMMTM reflects the expanded capabilities of BatterySIMM to perform asset valuation across all generation assets and geographies. PowerVAL provides developers, investors, and utilities with bankable and regulatory accepted wholesale and retail price forecasts. The wider modeling aperture forecasts revenue stacking and operations for solar, storage, wind, hybrid, and thermal projects including:
Utilizing 20+ year nodal sub-hourly price forecasts produced by the Market Intelligence team, PowerVAL software determines the value of projects at specific locations by performing comprehensive dispatch simulations and optimizing system operations to match our customers' specific use cases.
Bankable wholesale & retail price forecasts, stacked revenue projections, & modeled operations
Multiple asset classes including solar, standalone storage, wind, hybrid, & thermal projects
Forecasts of 20+ year sub-hourly real-time price, capacity prices, RECs, renewable capture rates, & hourly marginal emissions
Dispatch model with fully integrated price forecasts from AscendMI & flexibility to upload sensitivities & alternative forecasts
Sensitivities to key structural or policy drivers & their impact on market prices & project values
Model-driven retail rate projections for community and/or distributed generation revenue
Optimal siting of renewables & storage through survey, screen, & select locations across the country
Proprietary map layers incorporate price forecasts, investment metrics by resource type & location, nodal marginal emissions, interconnection, renewable capture rates, & IRA incentives
PowerVAL provides the analytic intelligence for optimal siting and determination of the project value any location in the U.S. and Western Europe.
For storage and hybrid projects, users can select operating strategies from the naïve to perfect foresight inclusive of physical asset attributes, including: round-trip efficiencies, charging/ discharging constraints, cycling limits, and expected degradation & augmentation schedules. Dispatch simulations adhere to ISO market rules while also respecting the physical limitations of each project.
PowerVAL provides built-in visualization tools for forecasts of revenue stacks. The revenue stack aggregates sub-hourly dispatch results of the generation facility. Comparison charges enable users to visualize the impact of market sensitivities on results.
Drill into daily and sub-hourly asset dynamics to visualize the impact of asset constraints and ISO operating rules.
Wholesale power market forecasts leverage AscendMI™, delivering bankable proprietary power market forecasts that reflect the new market dynamics. AscendMI™ forecasts are derived from our Opportunity Cost Forecasting Framework, designed specifically for the energy transition. This framework reflects the market dynamics that will come from the price-setting behaviors of incoming renewables and storage, with weather as the new fuel versus legacy production cost models, which systematically under predict volatility.
Our models provide 20+ year forecasts for day-ahead and real-time (5 min) power prices for every node, hub, and market in the US and Western Europe for ancillary services prices, capacity prices, and REC prices as well as nodal basis forecasts for every major market in the United States and Europe.
Understand expected hub and nodal price behavior at your project’s interconnection and/or settlement point with full granularity, from the project’s commercial operations date until its retirement.
Ascend’s distributed energy products offer support for developers, buyers, finance providers, and utilities. Our platform offers services that support project development, project finance and due diligence, power procurement, and M&A. Our experienced team has supported over 200MW of distributed project development and transactions across the US.
Our clients use our services and offerings support development and transactions around community solar and storage, behind-the-meter projects and portfolios, post-PPA revenue assessments, virtual power plants (VPPs), and aggregated distributed assets (including FERC 2222).
The foundation of our forecasts utilizes the price forecasts produced by the Market Intelligence team for the past 20+ years. Ascend’s transparent approach allows for detailed identification of retail rate components (supply, transmission, distribution, etc.) and forecast drivers linked to underlying wholesale market drivers, risk factors, and policy.
Distributed Power Market Forecasts leverage the AscendMI wholesale power market forecasts, delivering bankable proprietary rate and revenue forecasts. Ascend Analytics provides our clients with capabilities to make the best decisions throughout a project lifecycle from development to operation. Our approach is designed specifically for the ever evolving and complex energy landscape, reflecting the market dynamics coming from the price-setting behaviors of incoming renewables and storage as well as load growth, and policy.
Ascend’s supply rate forecasts break down the wholesale components of the supply stack leveraging historical and forecasted hourly energy prices, capacity prices, and RECs/RPS. Our detailed approach provides unique insight into how the underlying supply rate components evolve and impact rates over time, allowing for better identification of market drivers, risk factors, and potential likelihood of rate reform among other insights.
For community solar we consider the specific program rules for each state and forecast the bill credit.
Every location and project configuration pairing is unique. We provide pricing dynamics and revenue projections across the United States. We forecast rates on a local level by utility and rate class down the specific rate components (supply, distribution, transmission).
Our mapping allows users to view forecasts geospatially together with many other key metrics such as historical rates, distribution hosting capacity, interconnection que, parcel data, substation and power plant locations, and transmission as well as our wholesale information that includes pricing dynamics and project revenue potential across 50,000+ nodes in the US.
All our retail rate forecasts and reports as well as historical rates are kept up to date on our Market Intelligence Hub allowing users to access to up to date information.
Similar to our approach for wholesale projects, for distributed storage and hybrid projects, users can select operating strategies from the naïve to perfect foresight inclusive of physical asset attributes, including: round-trip efficiencies, charging/discharging constraints, cycling limits, and expected degradation & augmentation schedules. Dispatch simulations adhere to the specific state and/or program rules while also respecting the physical limitations of each project.
PowerVAL also includes forecasts and modeling for projects in New York’s VDER program. Forecasts are anchored on our Market Intelligence outlook for NYISO with a view of market dynamics and components over the next 25 years.
Access VDER forecasts include pricing dynamics and project revenue, informed by key metrics such as historical retail rates, historical wholesale prices, and forecast wholesale prices. Geospatial mapping includes distribution hosting capacity, interconnection queues, land parcel data, substation & power plant locations, and transmission.
Our dispatch optimization tool, specifically designed for VDER, allows modeling of standalone battery projects as well as solar and storage hybrid projects.Customize project configuration, bidding strategy & foresight, VDER values (energy capacity, DRV, and LSRV), retail energy charging costs, and demand costs. Users can model project margins, revenues by VDER stack component, and charging costs.
Assessing Energy Resource Value: Opportunity Cost Forecasting Framework Outperforms Traditional Cost Models
Unlocking the Carbon Abatement Potential of Storage with Locational Marginal Emissions
Ensuring Accurate Valuations:
BatterySIMM Revenue Forecast Validation
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