Ascend Analytics' proprietary Market Reports & Videos contain power market forecasts which expertly address market dynamics, forecasts of future conditions, and new opportunities related to the energy transition. These reports and videos include day-ahead and real-time power prices for nodes and trading hubs, prices for ancillary services, capacity, and RECs, as well as basis forecasts for every Independent System Operator (ISO) market in the United States plus WECC and Europe.
Clients can email [email protected] to get free video access. Please see our Market Reports & Videos below & for additional questions, please contact us.
Surplus solar in the South West has turned the WECC upside down to create a new North and South divide, where the South has become the low-cost center of power and the North has some of the most consistent high power prices in the country.
ERCOT is experiencing quickly rising demand, but ERCOT's electrical isolation from the rest of the country makes it more susceptible to volatility and scarcity conditions that result from a delicate supply and demand balance. While identifying as an energy-only market, ERCOT has implemented a variety of capacity revenue mechanisms to incentivize new generators, with critical conditions and revenues shifting toward longer duration resources.
Years of long system conditions, low capacity prices, and tightening environmental regulations have placed mounting economic pressure on PJM's thermal assets. Now, PJM is faced with the prospect of widespread thermal retirements amid delayed resource additions and the challenge of meeting significant demand growth from AI-driven data centers and electrification. This webinar will discuss Ascend's view on the dynamics of the PJM power market and the economic outlook for power generators and clean energy development as these driving forces reverberate across REC, capacity, and energy prices.
2023 proved to be an anomalous year for electricity prices in CAISO, driven by an unlikely combination of mild summer weather, abundant hydro generation, low gas prices, and an absence of heat waves. A storm is coming, however. Aggressive decarbonization policy mandates, record demand for renewable energy, and rapidly increasing load growth signify a robust need for new capacity resources and will present serious challenges for system reliability.
In this webinar previewing the Ascend CAISO 5.1 Market Report, Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO at Ascend Analytics, joined Dr. Brent Nelson, Managing Director of Markets and Strategy, to discuss the underlying structural power market challenges that lie ahead in CAISO.
Despite aggressive clean energy mandates in New York and the New England states, cost concerns have begun to test policy commitments. Rising peak demand, increasing capacity prices, and a scarcity of capacity resources further complicates the renewable energy development outlook in New York ISO (NYISO) and New England ISO (ISO-NE).
In a recent webinar, Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO of Ascend Analytics, and Dr. Brent Nelson, Managing Director of Markets and Strategy, discuss key developments, updates, and complications in northeastern energy markets, as well as Ascend's latest market forecasts for NYISO and ISO-NE.
In this webinar, we discuss our outlook on the SPP power market, identifying key dynamics and opportunities for renewables and storage.
In this webinar, we discuss our outlook on the SPP power market, identifying key dynamics and opportunities for renewables and storage.
Visit Product PageAs solar buildout grows in ERCOT, critical grid conditions are increasingly becoming associated with sunset net load ramps. Whether wind generation falters or rises with the setting sun determines the magnitude of the daily ramp and is the key driver for ERCOT price dynamics. As a result, wind can either cause ‘superduck’ ramps or squash price volatility. In this webinar, we will provide an overview of Ascend’s latest ERCOT forecast and the outlook for market forwards, scarcity, surpluses, and clean energy economics.
As solar buildout grows in ERCOT, critical grid conditions are increasingly becoming associated with sunset net load ramps. Whether wind generation falters or rises with the setting sun determines the magnitude of the daily ramp and is the key driver for ERCOT price dynamics. As a result, wind can either cause ‘superduck’ ramps or squash price volatility. In this webinar, we will provide an overview of Ascend’s latest ERCOT forecast and the outlook for market forwards, scarcity, surpluses, and clean energy economics.
Visit Product PageIn this webinar, we will discuss Ascend's latest market outlooks for PJM and MISO as elevated gas prices, passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, and continued clean energy demand from policy and ESG goals have strengthened the outlook for clean energy and clean capacity resources.
To capture the maximum project value of storage and hybrids in live operations, state-of-the-art adaptive forecasting of market conditions and continuous optimization of bid curves provide a competitive edge over traditional heuristic or fundamental trading strategies. In this webinar, we will demonstrate the performance of Ascend's proprietary algorithms across use cases for storage and renewables in ERCOT and CAISO. We will discuss overall strategy formulation, assessment, and benchmarking, as well as detailed examples of "a day in the life" of these systems to build understanding of the benefits of active SOC management and comprehensive market forecasting. We'll bring to life how storage and hybrids realize and can exceed predicted asset valuation. Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
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As renewable energy battery storage projects deploy more frequently in increasingly competitive markets, asset owners and operators need to be able to iterate more quickly across different locations, asset configurations, and dispatch strategies. At the same time, they need to be able to rapidly deliver accurate, bankable information that streamlines project finance decisions.
In this webinar, Jonah Simon, Director of Battery Products for Ascend Analytics, and Keegan Campanelli, Product Manager for BatterySIMM™, discuss new BatterySIMM capabilities that allow customers to shorten the cycle time between optimizing asset configurations and generating revenue forecasts that banks and project financiers trust.
Soaring load growth, rapidly increasing electricity demand, and significant additions of intermittent renewable resources to the supply stack have produced observable shifts in real-time price peaks and associated high volatility. These fundamental market changes pose significant challenges to hedging approaches and instruments traditionally used by energy retailers.
In a this webinar, Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO of Ascend Analytics, Devdatt Maganty, Senior Manager of Portfolio Management, and Carley Dolch, Director of Business Development, share advanced hedging strategies that allow energy retailers to maintain profitability and construct future-proof portfolios amid razor-thin margins and unpredictable market dynamics.
Batteries are uniquely poised to earn supernormal returns during the energy transition. However, the long-term uncertainty of storage value, as well as the variability of revenue capture by storage, can challenge the ability of low-risk, low-cost investors to provide the capital needed to accelerate renewable energy storage deployment across the U.S.
In this webinar, Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO of Ascend Analytics, and Adam Hise, Managing Director of Storage Risk Solutions, discuss how Ascend's EnSurance™ revenue insurance solution can help accelerate storage deployment by transferring market risk away from assets so as to enable more efficient storage project financing.
Substantial opportunities exist for merchant storage projects to capitalize on renewable-driven volatility in energy markets, especially in CAISO and ERCOT, which are projected to grow at 20% through 2029.
In a recent webinar, Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO of Ascend Analytics, joined Mr. Mike Huisenga, Managing Director of Business Development, and Dr. Carlos Blanco, Managing Director of Analytic Solutions from Ascend Analytics, to discuss storage bid optimization strategies, revenue stacking, revenue-optimizing risk management practices, and the decarbonization value of batteries.
Resource planners must ensure resource adequacy and maximize economic value with the energy transition. Because a greater portion of energy supply flows from renewables and battery storage, maintaining reliability requires more advanced reliability planning that captures the impact of weather on unit outages, energy production, and transmission lines. Using traditional reliability models that miss the linkages of weather on unit outages and rely solely on predefined distributions or historical data can lead to biased and inconsistent results that present an inaccurate picture of system risks.
Dr. Brandon Mauch, Director of Resource Planning Analytics for Ascend Analytics, lead a webinar that discussed how weather-correlated reliability models improve resource adequacy outcomes while maximizing value. Dr. Mauch was joined by Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO and Co-Founder of Ascend Analytics, and Mr. Zachary Brode, Manager of Analytics for Ascend.
In this webinar, analyze considerations for the role of temperature and correlated outages in RA assessment, role of storage and duration implications for RA analysis, ELCC by resource type, and emerging technologies to support renewable integration.
In this webinar, we analyze considerations for the role of temperature and correlated outages in RA assessment, role of storage and duration implications for RA analysis, ELCC by resource type, and emerging technologies to support renewable integration.
Visit Product PageIn this webinar, we review clean energy procurement and M&A trends relevant to Corporates, CCAs, Utilities, Investors & Asset Owners.
In this webinar, we review clean energy procurement and M&A trends relevant to Corporates, CCAs, Utilities, Investors & Asset Owners.
Visit Product PageThis webinar introduces new approaches beyond PPAs to increase project value for renewables and storage.
This webinar introduces new approaches beyond PPAs to increase project value for renewables and storage.
Visit Product PageMaximize the value of storage and hybrids and live operations with adaptive forecasting to market conditions that continuously optimize bid curves to provide the competitive edge.
Maximize the value of storage and hybrids and live operations with adaptive forecasting to market conditions that continuously optimize bid curves to provide a competitive edge. Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
Visit Product PageIn this webinar, Ascend will describe the IRA bonus tax credits and identify areas where power market dynamics and tax incentives coincide for better-than-ever investment in the energy transition. We’ll also uncover new geographic opportunities that have materialized.
The IRA has created new geospatial dynamics for renewable and storage projects. Learn where the IRA bonus tax credits apply and where power market dynamics and tax incentives coincide for better investments. Clients please email [email protected]
Visit Product PageThis webinar will cover key developments since Ascend's last forecasts and estimated changes for upcoming releases to address rising gas prices, stranded asset risks for thermals, and growing renewable penetrations.
With rising gas prices, stranded asset risks for thermals, and growing renewable penetrations, renewables and storage were already the most economic new resources in most markets even before the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act improved their economic outlook. While Ascend already forecasted aggressive renewable buildouts, the extension of the Investment Tax Credit to standalone storage significantly improves the merchant viability in storage in marginal markets. This webinar will cover key developments since Ascend's last forecasts and estimated changes for upcoming releases. Clients please email [email protected]
Visit Product PageIn this webinar, Ascend's resource planning experts will discuss: risks of load shortfalls in today’s systems, model requirements for best practices in resource adequacy analysis, resource adequacy metrics and their use in planning and ELCC analysis of weather-driven and energy limited resources.
As the US charts a path towards a carbon-free future and utilities are pushed to meet aggressive clean energy goals, meeting this challenge requires building large amounts of wind, solar and energy storage. This large growth in highly variable weather-driven power supply raises the stakes for rigorous analysis of resource adequacy to ensure a reliable power system. In this webinar, Ascend's resource planning experts will discuss: - Risks of load shortfalls in today's systems - Model requirements for best practices in resource adequacy analysis - Resource adequacy metrics and their use in planning - ELCC analysis of weather-driven and energy limited resources Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
Visit Product PageThis presentation will cover what energy investors and developers need to understand about power markets as the energy transition progresses.
Electricity prices dynamics are fundamentally changing with increasing renewable penetrations, and the days are over of average prices having great sway. Volatility is growing, negative prices are becoming increasingly frequent, geospatial patterns of supply and power prices are radically changing, and ancillary markets are transforming. Understanding the structural drivers of change and their links to market conditions in critical to making informed decisions. This presentation will cover what energy investors and developers need to understand about power markets as the energy transition progresses. Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
Visit Product PageThis webinar will explore the relative risk and return of alternative contract mechanisms and how to shape a portfolio that leverages high market conditions for increased return on capital and our portfolio risk management experts will discuss how to assemble an OTC contract structure and compare relative risk and return.
While the energy transition has ushered in a wave of new opportunities, the focus on attention on long-term PPA's has been a relative race to the bottom, leaving significant upside for over-the-counter (OTC) hedges and tolls. This webinar will explore the relative risk and return of alternative contract mechanisms and how to shape a portfolio that leverages high market conditions for increased return on capital. Portfolio & Risk Management for the renewable and storage portfolio has significantly greater risk than thermal generation, creating a greater need to understand the principal components of risk and physical financial mechanisms to mitigate these risks. In this webinar, Ascend's portfolio risk management experts will discuss how to assemble an OTC contract structure and compare relative risk and return. Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
Visit Product PageLearn how to support project financing with strategies to derisk merchant battery storage.
Learn how to support project financing with strategies to derisk merchant battery storage. Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
Visit Product PageRenewable & Storage Procurement in CA: 2021 was a big year for renewable and storage procurement in California. In this webinar, Ascend's clean energy procurement experts will discuss their take aways from 2021.
Renewable & Storage Procurement in CA: 2021 was a big year for renewable and storage procurement in California. Community Choice Aggregators continued to take the lead in seeking power purchase agreements for renewable energy and battery storage in CAISO, driven by internal goals for annual and 24-7 clean energy as well as state mandates following the Mid-Term Reliability (MTR) Order. In this webinar, Ascend's clean energy procurement experts will discuss their take aways from 2021 including: - What is the effect of inflation and supply chain bottlenecks on PPA prices? - What goes into an offer valuation (price vs value and qualitative assessment)? - What kinds of projects (and where) are winning in the market? - How is long-duration storage faring as a new product? - How will California utilities fulfill the 'baseload' clean energy requirements of the MTR? - Where is the market going in 2022 and beyond? Clients please email [email protected] for the free full video.
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