Secure Investment Decisions with Bankable Intelligence

Modern power markets demand forecasts grounded in operational reality. Ascend helps private equity firms, investment banks, and asset managers evaluate opportunities, validate underwriting assumptions, quantify risk, and make investment decisions with confidence.

100+

Project Financings and M&A Transactions

300+ GW

Project Valuation Assessments Underpinned

$50+ Billion

Project Financing Assessments

Trusted by Leading Banks, Private Equity Firms, Hedge Funds & Asset Managers

Case Study

Ascend's ELCC Analysis Informs PJM Investment Strategies, Forecasts Future Impacts

“Because capacity payments are a key component of project economics in PJM, even modest changes to ELCC values can materially affect investment decisions. For energy market stakeholders who want to evaluate future capacity revenues using independent modeling approaches, it is vital to understand how closely those models align with PJM ELCC calculations.”

Trusted Forecasts & Valuations for Modern Power Markets

Power markets are rapidly evolving. Ascend equips capital markets teams with statistical and modeling rigor that connects changing market fundamentals to long-term financial performance.

Secure and Defensible Project Valuations

  • Access 30+ year power market forecasts benchmarked against real-world operating results from Ascend’s SmartBidder™
  • Validate developer-supplied revenue projections against independent, nodal-level price curves that account for congestion, curtailment, and basis risk
  • Produce presentation-ready sensitivities and lender-grade narratives that bear investment committee scrutiny

Secure and Defensible Project Valuations

  • Access 30+ year power market forecasts benchmarked against real-world operating results from Ascend’s SmartBidder™
  • Validate developer-supplied revenue projections against independent, nodal-level price curves that account for congestion, curtailment, and basis risk
  • Produce presentation-ready sensitivities and lender-grade narratives that bear investment committee scrutiny

Quantify and Manage Portfolio Risk

  • Quantify renewable intermittency, congestion, and basis risk with probabilistic scenario modeling built for weather-driven markets
  • Support ongoing asset management with integrated dashboards that track realized versus forecasted performance

Quantify and Manage Portfolio Risk

  • Quantify renewable intermittency, congestion, and basis risk with probabilistic scenario modeling built for weather-driven markets
  • Support ongoing asset management with integrated dashboards that track realized versus forecasted performance

Accelerate Deal Screening and Diligence

  • Screen markets and rank project sites rapidly using high-resolution nodal price forecasts, regional supply and demand fundamentals, and geospatial mapping tools
  • Evaluate storage and hybrid project economics, including capture rates, ancillary service revenues, and capacity market value across all major US ISOs
  • Conduct buy-side and sell-side diligence for thermal, renewable, and storage assets with forecasts trusted by developers, banks, and institutional investors alike

Accelerate Deal Screening and Diligence

  • Screen markets and rank project sites rapidly using high-resolution nodal price forecasts, regional supply and demand fundamentals, and geospatial mapping tools
  • Evaluate storage and hybrid project economics, including capture rates, ancillary service revenues, and capacity market value across all major US ISOs
  • Conduct buy-side and sell-side diligence for thermal, renewable, and storage assets with forecasts trusted by developers, banks, and institutional investors alike

Navigate the Full Energy Deal Lifecycle

  • Move from market screening and site ranking through underwriting support, execution sensitivities, and post-close portfolio monitoring in one integrated workflow
  • Access senior market advisors for buy-side and sell-side diligence, portfolio risk analysis, and IC-ready deliverables
  • Leverage a marketplace for asset transactions through Ascend Energy Exchange™, from origination through execution

Navigate the Full Energy Deal Lifecycle

  • Move from market screening and site ranking through underwriting support, execution sensitivities, and post-close portfolio monitoring in one integrated workflow
  • Access senior market advisors for buy-side and sell-side diligence, portfolio risk analysis, and IC-ready deliverables
  • Leverage a marketplace for asset transactions through Ascend Energy Exchange™, from origination through execution

How Ascend Helps

Asset financing requires valuation models that can not only withstand investor inquiry but also enhance the due diligence process. Ascend delivers market intelligence, underwriting support, and independent valuation analysis to help capital markets teams assess risk, price assets, and execute transactions confidently.

For Investment Banks

Make confident decisions with independent, lender-grade forecasts that bear investment committee and counterparty interrogation.

Ascend Analytics Helps Investment Banks:

  • Validate developer-supplied revenue forecasts against independent, nodal-level price curves that account for congestion, curtailment, and basis risk
  • Underwrite renewable, storage, and hybrid projects with forecasts benchmarked against actual operating results
  • Stress-test project economics across policy, price, and demand scenarios to produce sensitivities and lender-grade narratives
  • Accelerate deal screening with granular forecasts that leverage hub and nodal price signals, and regional market outlooks covering supply stack, load growth, and transmission dynamics

For Investment Banks

Make confident decisions with independent, lender-grade forecasts that bear investment committee and counterparty interrogation.

Ascend Analytics Helps Investment Banks:

  • Validate developer-supplied revenue forecasts against independent, nodal-level price curves that account for congestion, curtailment, and basis risk
  • Underwrite renewable, storage, and hybrid projects with forecasts benchmarked against actual operating results
  • Stress-test project economics across policy, price, and demand scenarios to produce sensitivities and lender-grade narratives
  • Accelerate deal screening with granular forecasts that leverage hub and nodal price signals, and regional market outlooks covering supply stack, load growth, and transmission dynamics

For Private Equity

Maximize risk-adjusted returns across energy infrastructure portfolios with rigorous valuation modeling and market intelligence that supports both acquisition diligence and ongoing asset management.

Ascend Analytics Helps Private Equity Firms:

  • Conduct buy-side and sell-side diligence for thermal, renewable, and storage assets with long-run equilibrium price forecasts trusted across North American power markets
  • Model platform-level portfolio value under multiple market, policy, and technology scenarios to support capital allocation and fund reporting
  • Evaluate storage and hybrid project economics, including capture rates, ancillary service revenues, and capacity market value across ISOs
  • Identify and prioritize acquisition targets through rapid site screening tools, locational value maps, and regional supply and demand fundamentals

For Private Equity

Maximize risk-adjusted returns across energy infrastructure portfolios with rigorous valuation modeling and market intelligence that supports both acquisition diligence and ongoing asset management.

Ascend Analytics Helps Private Equity Firms:

  • Conduct buy-side and sell-side diligence for thermal, renewable, and storage assets with long-run equilibrium price forecasts trusted across North American power markets
  • Model platform-level portfolio value under multiple market, policy, and technology scenarios to support capital allocation and fund reporting
  • Evaluate storage and hybrid project economics, including capture rates, ancillary service revenues, and capacity market value across ISOs
  • Identify and prioritize acquisition targets through rapid site screening tools, locational value maps, and regional supply and demand fundamentals

For Hedge Funds and Asset Managers

Capture power market opportunities and manage portfolio risk with high-resolution price intelligence, real-time signals, and scenario modeling built for volatile, weather-driven energy markets.

Ascend Analytics Helps Hedge Funds and Asset Managers:

  • Validate internal price assumptions against independent, nodal-level forecasts that capture weather-driven supply dynamics, congestion trends, and structural shifts in US power markets
  • Identify relative value opportunities across ISOs with 20+ year forward price curves covering power, ancillary services, capacity, and RECs
  • Quantify downside exposure in energy-linked positions with probabilistic scenario analysis that models correlated weather, load, and renewable output dynamics
  • Support investment committee materials and investor reporting with forecast data that is independently produced, bankable, and benchmarked against actual market outcomes

For Hedge Funds and Asset Managers

Capture power market opportunities and manage portfolio risk with high-resolution price intelligence, real-time signals, and scenario modeling built for volatile, weather-driven energy markets.

Ascend Analytics Helps Hedge Funds and Asset Managers:

  • Validate internal price assumptions against independent, nodal-level forecasts that capture weather-driven supply dynamics, congestion trends, and structural shifts in US power markets
  • Identify relative value opportunities across ISOs with 20+ year forward price curves covering power, ancillary services, capacity, and RECs
  • Quantify downside exposure in energy-linked positions with probabilistic scenario analysis that models correlated weather, load, and renewable output dynamics
  • Support investment committee materials and investor reporting with forecast data that is independently produced, bankable, and benchmarked against actual market outcomes

A Unified Product Ecosystem that Powers Planning through Performance

Maximize long-term value and decision-making speed while managing risk with Ascend's unified ecosystem of software, intelligence, and consulting solutions.

Supporting Customers Through the Full Product Lifecycle
Strategy, Research & Analysis
Planning
Siting, Valuation & Financing
Development
Asset Transactions & PPAs
Commercialization
Bidding, Dispatch & Scheduling
Operations
Portfolio & Risk Management
Ongoing

Key Resources

Publications

Data Center Siting: Six Factors That Determine Success

As hyperscalers and data center developers race to meet surging AI-driven demand, speed to market is paramount – which means site selection can make or break a project.

Case Studies

Supporting Ingka Investments Energy Goals in ERCOT using SmartBidder Bid Optimization

With IKEA retail operations in 31 markets around the globe, Ingka Group is the largest IKEA retailer and represents about 90% of IKEA retail sales.

Articles

What Forward Power Markets Reveal About Prices, Risk, and Scarcity

Forward power and gas markets remain one of the clearest and most information-dense signals available for understanding where prices are headed and why they're headed in a specific direction.

Articles

Optimal Hedging Ensures Stable Energy Asset Returns

Structural changes in US power markets continue to affect absolute prices and price variability, which presents opportunities for both generators and load-serving entities to use hedging to ensure greater cost and revenue stability.